Dave Holder

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As we head into the weekend, a strong upper-level trough will swing into the central US. As this occurs, a surface low will begin to pull in moisture from the south, increasing instability. Strong upper-level winds will combine with instability to increase severe weather potential across Texas on Sunday and through Monday morning. <img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/11/Screenshot 2024-11-14 175022-1731631850786.png">Storm initiation will occur by Sunday afternoon as a cold front moves east. Storms will likely remain strong with an isolated severe potential overnight. By late Monday morning, models depict a line of stronger storms and heavy rain moving across the I-35 corridor, including the DFW metro down to Austin. <video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/11/txfront-1731640272927.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>On the north side of the surface low and associated warm front, heavy rain will be possible Sunday afternoon and throughout the day Monday. The threat of heavy rain will extend northward into next week. The Weather Prediction Center has highlighted areas where the heaviest rain is expected.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/11/Screenshot 2024-11-14 175005-1731631867532.png">A tornado threat may exist with this severe weather episode. Even though the calendar may read November, Texas is no stranger to tornadoes during the month. <img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/11/Screenshot 2024-11-14 201414-1731640506971.png">Stay with Weather Nation as we continue to update this potential November severe thunderstorm setup!

Severe Thunderstorm Risk Across Texas Beginning Sunday

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Rob grew up in South Florida, where daily afternoon storms and hurricanes piqued his interest in meteorology early on. That interest was fostered by his teachers and his father, who one time brought him onto the roof of their home to watch a funnel cloud move through the Everglades several miles away. Years of filmmaking and tv production in high school gradually pushed him toward broadcast meteorology at Florida State University, where he joined and eventually led the student run daily weather show. After graduating with a Bachelors of Science in Meteorology, he began his career at KESQ in Palm Springs, California before heading to KFSN in Fresno and WLOS in Asheville, North Carolina. He has covered a diverse array of extreme weather events, including haboobs and flash flooding in the desert, extreme snow in the Sierra, hurricanes, and Appalachian ice storms. He also enjoys telling stories and reporting about weather issues.

Connect with Rob on <a href="https://twitter.com/WxRobBradley">Twitter</a>

Rob Bradley

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Tropical Storm Sara has now formed. It was designated a depression early Thursday morning, due to imminent tropical storm impacts in Central America. Impacts to the U.S. are possible with this system, but not until the middle of next week.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/11/Screenshot 2024-11-14 105357-1731606870662.png">The storm is expected to increase slightly in strength as it slowly churns along the northern coast of Honduras. This slow movement will produce life-threatening flash flooding for this region, especially in Honduras, Guatemala, Belize, and the Yucatan in Mexico.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/11/Screenshot 2024-11-14 050359-1731586272422.png">Rainfall totals around the Bay of Honduras could top 6-10 inches through the weekend, with landslides and mudslides possible in hilly terrain. Flash flooding is likely for any low-lying area.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/11/Screenshot 2024-11-14 045328-1731585811063.png">A ridge of high pressure will push the system slowly west through the weekend before the ridge moves farther east. This will allow southerly flow to bring the system north into the Gulf of Mexico, where forecasts show a shift to the East towards Florida. However, if a trough does help move the system toward Florida, it would likely increase wind shear enough to inhibit the storm from maintaining organization. There is still plenty of time for things to change and this scenario would still create heavy rain in the Southeast.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/11/Day3SVR-1731640146300.png">Landfalling hurricanes in November are rare in the United States, especially after the first ten days of the month. Hurricane Kate in 1985 was the only hurricane on record to make landfall in the US in the second half of the month.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/11/Screenshot 2024-11-14 050408-1731585894509.png">As always, if you live in an area that sees impacts from tropical systems, stay weather aware.

Patrick Crawford

Tropical Storm Sara Approaching Honduras

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A digging trough from the northwest will work through California to increase snow chances for the Sierra! Winter Weather Advisories have now been issued for the high country for up to a foot of snow. The winds will be strong along with the snow chances, and travel could be difficult along some mountain passes. More winter alerts could be added to this map as the event unfolds.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/11/Day3SVR-1731625252817.png">Throughout Thursday, the precipitation will start to increase from north to south. On Friday as the cutoff low lingers, more rain and snow is likely across the Sierra spilling over into Nevada and Utah. For information on this forecast, the West Regional always plays at :50 past the hour.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/11/FORECAST-1731626559167.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>The snow comes at a perfect time for ski resorts which are opening over the next several weeks in the Sierra! Another round of rain and snow will be possible into the weekend.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/11/Screenshot 2024-11-14 061646-1731590265013.png">

Rain and Snow Chances Increasing for California

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WeatherNation Meteorologists

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A parade of systems will keep the Northwest and Northern Rockies very active over the next seven days. There will be multiple rounds of rain and snow, as multiple waves move through the Northwest. Heavy snow and rain will be possible at times, and this means travel can be impacted. Winter alerts have been issued for the Intermountain West and the Cascades.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/11/Day1SVR-1731640875655.png"><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/11/Day3SVR-1731641050962.png">Winter storm warnings are in place for portions of Washington. Heavy snow and gusty winds will be possible. Snowfall totals of up to 20 inches will be possible for the higher elevations. Low visibility for areas in the high country will be expected over the next few days.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/11/Day1SVR-1731641341187.png">As we pivot into the upcoming weekend, a stronger area of low pressure moves ashore that will bring in more snow and heavy rain. The pattern remains very active across the Northwest as the wet season continues. Stay alert if you live by these rivers, creeks, and streams.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/11/Screenshot 2024-11-14 061633-1731590206838.png">You can always check your West Regional Forecast at :50 past the hour.

Active Pattern in the Northwest

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Fire alerts have been discontinued in the Northeast, but there still remains special weather statements for this area, with winds coming out of the North at 5 -15 mph. Breezy conditions with low humidity values across the region will still keep the fire weather concerns heighten.Fires continue to burn across portions of the area, including the Jennings Creek Fire. Here, over 2,000 acres have burned.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/11/1-1731556550585.png">Even after some rainfall in the last few days, vegetation remains very dry, with drought conditions continuing to worsen.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/11/Screenshot 2024-11-11 172014-1731370817332.png">Models are depicting more moisture returning to the area, with relief from elevated fire conditions on the way. This looks to be focused into the end of the week. However, it looks like Interstate 95 will be missing out on much of the meaningful rain as it stays west.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/11/2024-11-14 07-01-05-1731592907251.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>We'll continue to update this developing situation on Weather Nation, including your East Regional Forecast at :10 past the hour.

Brittany Lockley

Beneficial Rainfall on the Way for the Northeast

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Originally born in Spokane, Washington,  Jackie's Dad was in the Air Force which led her to a life of travel. She has lived in Wichita, Okinawa, Japan, Baltimore, New Jersey, Indiana and South Carolina.  After graduating from Kadena High School, in Okinawa Japan, she got a full basketball scholarship to Coppin State College. On the court she was a 4-year starter and reached over 1000 points in her basketball career. She was also named Athlete of the Year for the whole university in 2002. Off the court, she earned a degree in Broadcast Production/English.

After college, she landed a job as a radio personality. Jackie went on to have a successful career for 12 years working at KXLY broadcast center. While on the radio, she decided to change career. Jackie went back to school, graduating from the Mississippi State Meteorology Broadcast Program. From snow, to tornadoes, to hurricanes, she has had experience forecasting all these events.

Jackie Brown

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There is a marginal risk for severe overnight including the cities of Mobile and Pensacola. As a cold front moves through a few storms can be strong to severe with an isolated tornado threat. <img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/11/sffl-1731557230412.png">Damaging winds and a tornado or two are the biggest concerns with this round of severe weather overnight, make sure to have multiple ways to get alerts.While the tornado threat with these storms is low, it's not zero - have a way to receive warnings throughout the night! Or download our app to take any potential severe weather alerts with you.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/11/overnightttt-1731557324397.png">The line of storms will continue to push east through the overnight hours. Behind the front will be dry and clear conditions.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/11/fcade-1731557462299.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/11/Screenshot 2024-11-13 063924-1731505180626.jpg">This is the same area that picked up 7-8 inches of rain last weekend. Since soils are so saturated, the flooding risk might be the easiest one to come by with this system. Some areas could see another 2-3 inches of rain, continuing the flooding threat down south.

Severe Chances a Little More Likely Today

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Tracey Anthony

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<div class="twitter-tweet" style="display: flex; justify-content: center" data-twitt-post-id="1855988869155463542" src="https://x.com/WeatherNation/status/1855988869155463542"></div>VENTURA COUNTY, CA - The Mountain Fire has been burning under dangerous conditions, prompting mandatory evacuations across southern California. As of Thursday night, this fire has now burned over 20k+ acres and has threatened numerous structures, with little containment. The <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.gov.ca.gov/2024/11/06/california-secures-federal-assistance-to-support-response-to-mountain-fire/">Governor of California has approved FEMA </a>to help ensure resources to Ventura County for this fire.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/11/Web 12-1731432829752.png">FEMA is assisting the area devastated on the West Coast by this most recent wildfire. Over 130 homes have been destroyed with another 7,000 being threatened still. Evacuation Orders are still in effect for the area. The same are is facing some Elevated Fire Weather conditions as a front moves through. Winds will kick up, but not nearly to the extent we saw last week.<div class="twitter-tweet" style="display: flex; justify-content: center" data-twitt-post-id="1856386974967574687" src="https://x.com/VCFD_PIO/status/1856386974967574687"></div>Wind Advisory for portions of the LA Metro, including Ventura County<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/11/Web 10 -1731433570090.png">Dry conditions and gusty winds will allow wildfires to rapidly grow in size and intensity. Outdoor burning is not recommended. In this type of situation gusts up to 60 mph will be possible. Downed trees and power outages will be possible, and you should use extra caution when driving.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/11/Web 11-1731433614999.png">For the latest updates on California's red flag warnings, tune in for our Western Regional Forecast:50 past the hour.

Mountain Fire Continues to Burn in Ventura County, CA

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Fire danger is elevated through Monday for parts of Southern California.

Red Flag Warnings have already been issued starting at 10 pm Saturday and continuing through 3 pm Monday PST.

<img class="alignnone size-large wp-image-86786" src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2018/01/red-flag-728x408.jpg" alt="" width="728" height="408" />

A Red Flag Warning is issued when critical fire weather conditions are happening, which includes warm temperatures, very dry air, and strong winds.

https://twitter.com/twitter/statuses/957041383189094400

With strong high pressure building in to the Great Basin region this weekend, we will see gusty northeast winds set up.  This is also known as a Santa Ana wind event, with gusts forecast 55-65 mph in the mountains and up to 50 mph in the valleys.

These dry, downsloping winds combined with the increase in temperatures can lead to extreme fire behavior.

For WeatherNation, I'm Meredith Garofalo

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Elevated Fire Danger Returns to California

Severe Thunderstorm Risk Across Texas Beginning Sunday

As we head into the weekend, a strong upper-l

Tropical Storm Sara Approaching Honduras

Tropical Storm Sara has now formed. It was de

Rain and Snow Chances Increasing for California

A digging trough from the northwest will work

Active Pattern in the Northwest

A parade of systems will keep the Northwest a

Beneficial Rainfall on the Way for the Northeast

Fire alerts have been discontinued in the Nor

Severe Chances a Little More Likely Today

There is a marginal risk for severe overnight

Mountain Fire Continues to Burn in Ventura County, CA

VENTURA COUNTY, CA - The Mountain Fire has be