<p style="margin: 0in; margin-bottom: .0001pt;"><span style="font-size: 13.5pt; color: #454545;">Rob grew up in South Florida, where daily afternoon storms and hurricanes piqued his interest in meteorology early on. That interest was fostered by his teachers and his father, who one time brought him onto the roof of their home to watch a funnel cloud move through the Everglades several miles away. Years of filmmaking and tv production in high school gradually pushed him toward broadcast meteorology at Florida State University, where he joined and eventually led the student run daily weather show. After graduating with a Bachelors of Science in Meteorology, he began his career at KESQ in Palm Springs, California before heading to KFSN in Fresno and WLOS in Asheville, North Carolina. He has covered a diverse array of extreme weather events, including haboobs and flash flooding in the desert, extreme snow in the Sierra, hurricanes, and Appalachian ice storms. He also enjoys telling stories and reporting about weather issues.

Connect with Rob on <a href="https://twitter.com/WxRobBradley">Twitter</a></span></p>

Rob Bradley

RobBradleyjpeg-1679518597323.jpeg

<p>Rounds of rain have been rolling through the Plains and Midwest, leading to saturated soils. This could lead to more significant flood potential Friday, before rain chances drop quickly into the weekend. A level 3 out of 4 risk (top of page) for flash flooding is in effect through early Saturday morning.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-25 110044-1753462921799.png"></p><h1>Severe Weather</h1><p>In addition to flooding, scattered damaging winds and hail are possible out of thunderstorms in the Front Range of Colorado, and near the low pressure system from Oklahoma into Missouri.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-25 110659-1753463357044.png"></p><p>The low could help create enough turning motion to spur a few tornadoes, targeting areas around Kansas City.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-25 110749-1753463364964.png"></p><h1>Forecast</h1><p>After a round of morning rain, additional strong and severe storms are expected again in the afternoon. Some storms may linger into the early morning hours on Saturday.</p><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/2025-07-25 11-01-29-1753463036653.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><p>Additional rainfall of 2-6 inches will be possible, particularly in stronger storms.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-25 110125-1753462945005.png"></p>

Flash Flood & Tornado Risk Remains Elevated Friday in Kansas & Missouri

Screenshot20250725110052png-1753462912480.png

<p>In the <strong>Gulf (above), </strong>the National Hurricane Center has issued a low chance of development for an area of low pressure. It is increasingly unlikely (nearly impossible) at this point for a tropical depression to form.  Heavy rainfall and localized flooding are possible for parts of the Gulf Coast Friday into Saturday as the system moves inland.</p><h1><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-25 055755-1753444689816.png">Central Pacific</h1><p>We are keeping an eye on an area that has a medium chance of developing south of the Hawaiian Islands. If the storm forms west of 140° longitude, it will get a name from the seldom used Central Pacific Region.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-25 061606-1753446199832.png"><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-24 112020-1753377628391.png">While the storm is not expected to directly impact Hawaii, big swells could lead to dangerous waves and currents on the beaches and offshore waters through the middle of next week.</p><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/2025-07-25 06-23-47-1753446261449.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><h1>Eastern Pacific</h1><p>The NHC is also watching a new tropical wave for development in the eastern Pacific. It is still too early to determine it there will be any potential impacts to Mexico or the U.S. but it looks like the low will mostly be heading west. </p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-25 062310-1753446222215.png"></p><h1>Why Has the Atlantic Been So "Quiet"?</h1><p>There are a few factors as to why the tropics have been quieter: Saharan dust, cooler ocean temperatures in some regions, and wind shear. These are all things that can limit tropical formation.</p><h2>Saharan Dust</h2><p>Forecast models keep dust plumes from Africa from traveling across the Atlantic. This suppresses tropical activity since tropical systems favor moisture. You can see the Saharan Dust trailing behind the area of low pressure moving into the Gulf.</p><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/New Baron Video 3-1753384764123.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><h2>Ocean Temperatures</h2><p>In what is known as the Main Development Region (MDR), sea surface temperatures have been a little cooler. Tropical systems typically need sea surface temperatures of 80° at a depth of 150 ft for tropical formation. Currently, in the MDR our temperatures are in the high 70s. We are slowly seeing some SST's climbing to around 80°.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-23 073255-1753277589935.png">In fact, a lot of the season in comparison to last year and the year before has been a bit cooler. However, if you look at the numbers, it's been hovering around normal.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-22 142616-1753216233169.png">So what is actually normal? Well, typically, we don't have our first "D" named storms until mid-August, so it looks like the season so far is just averaging "normal", and normal may feel quiet when we compare it to years past.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-22 143043-1753216287218.png"></p><h1>Looking Ahead</h1><p>This early in the season, we're still trend spotting. Without a persistent El Nino setup to bring additional shear, we watch the water temperatures. In the Main Development Region, waters had been trending cooler - not anymore. Over the past few weeks, a noticeable spike in Ocean Heat Content has caught those temperatures through a column up to average. Are they on the way to record levels we've seen in the past few years? Time will tell.</p>

NHC Monitoring Several Areas in the Tropics

Screenshot20250724051259jpg-1753355603205.jpeg

<p>Hot temperatures along the east coast will help fuel thunderstorms on Friday, which could bring damaging winds to the I-95 corridor. A cold front cutting into the region will trigger the storms, but also will drop temperatures for many. Additional storms with flood potential will follow into the weekend as a weak low pressure system moves toward the coast on Sunday.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-25 042722-1753440631593.png">Temperatures and humidity will drop significantly behind the front, especially in New York and New England. Areas farther south toward the Chesapeake will only see a minor cool down.</p><h1><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-25 042755-1753440726375.png">Forecast</h1><p>Expect scattered showers and storms to develop along the front from the late morning into the early afternoon, intensifying through the mid-afternoon hours as storms drop south with the front. Most of the strong storms will decay shortly after sunset, but a trailing system will bring scattered storms back to the area Late Saturday through Sunday.</p><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/2025-07-25 04-50-45-1753440692411.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><h1>Rainfall &amp; Flooding</h1><p>Heavy rain is expected, especially where multiple thunderstorms are able to form.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-25 042738-1753440715761.png"> Isolated flash flood potential is being highlighted by the WPC in the region through Sunday.</p><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/2025-07-25 04-51-11-1753440704213.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>

Storms Target the Northeast into the Weekend

Screenshot20250725042654png-1753440608201.png

Brittany Lockley

BrittanyLockleyjpeg-1679519515040.jpeg

<p><span>A significant and long-lasting heat wave is currently impacting over 100 million people across the United States, prompting widespread heat alerts (above). Unusual and intense heat and humidity have settled over the Middle Mississippi and Ohio Valleys and are expected to persist through early next week. </span><span style="color: rgb(40, 42, 58)">The Heat Risk for much of the country is red, which is a </span><strong>major</strong><span style="color: rgb(40, 42, 58)"> level of heat risk. There are even some areas of purple, which is the highest level of heat danger: </span><strong>Extreme</strong><span style="color: rgb(40, 42, 58)">. These locations need to limit time outdoors, stay hydrated, and check on your neighbors. </span></p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-25 061043-1753445531588.jpg"></p><p><span>Highs are expected to climb into the upper 90s and may even touch 100 degrees  in some areas. When combined with elevated humidity, the heat index could exceed 110 to 115 degrees, a level of heat that can be hazardous even for healthy individuals. These conditions are particularly dangerous for vulnerable populations such as the elderly, children, outdoor workers, and those without access to reliable air conditioning or hydration.</span><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0)">&nbsp;</span></p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-25 061122-1753445540285.jpg"></p><p><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0)">What makes this heat wave especially troubling is its expected duration and the lack of overnight relief. Typically, cooler nighttime temperatures help the body recover from the daytime heat, but high humidity levels are keeping nighttime temperatures elevated, offering little reprieve. Temperatures only dropped down to 81 degrees on Thursday in Greenwood, MS breaking the old record.</span></p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-25 055744-1753444671441.jpg">This will be the last day for the heat alerts across the northeast. A cold front that will brings strong storms is moving through on Friday bring temperatures back into the 70s and 80s.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-25 061058-1753445554519.jpg">This will bring the potential for records across the northeast. Keep in mind the added moisture will still be around, so some of the feels like temperatures will reach the triple digits here too.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-23 075652-1753279059664.png">Stay weather-aware and take heat seriously. <img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Web 10 -1753017961842.png"></p><h1>SE Heat</h1><p>Meanwhile, the heat is expanding across the Southeast and Mid-South, with the most persistent and dangerous conditions anticipated across the Southeast and the Tennessee Valley.<span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0)">&nbsp;</span>Across the south, with the added humidity, "feels-like" temperatures will soar to the 110s for some.  Widespread EXTREME heat impacts are expected by Sunday. </p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-25 061144-1753445576758.jpg"><span>This prolonged exposure to heat increases the risk of heat-related illnesses such as heat exhaustion, heat stroke, and dehydration. </span></p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-25 061156-1753445583191.jpg">Tune into WeatherNation for more top weather headlines.</p>

Over 100 Million Under Heat Alerts

Screenshot20250725061632jpg-1753445804995.jpeg

<p>Gusty storms have been riding around a massive ridge of high pressure parked over the Central and Eastern U.S.<br><br>This trend will continue as a trough cuts into the ridge and settles over the Midwest the next few days. Severe storms and flooding are possible.</p><h1>Severe Weather Outlooks</h1><p>The SPC (Storm Prediction Center) is highlighted areas around the low and trailing front on Friday, from the Great Lakes into the Great Plains. Damaging winds are expected to be the main threat. <img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-25 070425-1753448679426.png"></p><p>. A trailing low will bring the severe weather threat back to the Great Lakes on Saturday. A marginal risk is issued from the SPC</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-25 070449-1753448700920.png"></p><h1>Forecast Timing</h1><p>As the front lingers on Friday the region will see additional scattered strong to severe storms before the next low brings another round of strong storms Saturday afternoon.</p><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/2025-07-25 07-05-52-1753448803186.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><h1>Flooding</h1><p>Through the weekend, multiple rounds of heavy rain could spur multiple incidents of flash flooding. Pockets of 2-6" of rain are possible.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-25 070735-1753448868807.png"></p><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/2025-07-25 07-06-53-1753448841160.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>

Storms Target the Northeast into the Weekend

Over 100 Million Under Heat Alerts

Severe Storms Target the Midwest into the Weekend

Flash Flood & Tornado Risk Remains Elevated Friday in Kansas & Missouri

NHC Monitoring Several Areas in the Tropics

Storms Target the Northeast into the Weekend

Over 100 Million Under Heat Alerts

Severe Storms Target the Midwest into the Weekend

Flash Flood & Tornado Risk Remains Elevated Friday in Kansas & Missouri

NHC Monitoring Several Areas in the Tropics

Storms Target the Northeast into the Weekend

Over 100 Million Under Heat Alerts

Severe Storms Target the Midwest into the Weekend